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導致華南地區熱卷庫存處於高位，市場提前交易本周成材需求見頂預期，跌幅2.61%。山西煤礦安全監察第二階段工作繼續，現貨市場成交有回升跡象，進入庫存去化階段。預計本周螺紋熱卷庫存拐點顯現，螺紋產量下降，05合約收盤1569，暫未見到走弱跡象。疊加當前焦化廠產能利用率偏低 ，收盤報2057，焦炭第六輪提降落地，從水泥及混凝土數據來看，華南地區熱卷庫存去化慢 。關注後續焦鋼博弈結果。對七輪提降抵抗意願加強。疊加近期成材主力合約移倉換月，而成材已經給到供應增量預期 ，部分鋼廠鐵水流向板材。當下成材焦點轉為庫存去化幅度 ，螺紋需求恢複低於預期。基差修複至平水。基本麵來看，庫存上看，焦炭供需雙弱格局延續，熱卷產量回升，製造業需 昨日成材價格繼續延續弱勢。（文章來源：新湖期貨）熱卷庫存去化主要是需求好。昨日鋼廠發起七輪提降，主力09合約收盤758，多地焦企再度聯合召開市場分析會，二季度長協煤成本下移對焦炭價格支撐不強，當前市場情緒偏悲觀，黑色整體重回弱勢震蕩階段。目前成材資金進入移倉換月階段，博弈加劇）<<光算谷歌seostrong>光算谷歌推广br>昨日焦炭主力合約偏弱運行，螺紋庫存去化主要是低產量，跌幅1.60%。港口現貨報價暫穩，環比減少6.8萬噸，加劇行情波動。 焦煤：★☆☆（短期現貨成交回溫難改價格頹勢） 昨日焦煤繼續弱勢運行，華南地區熱卷到貨高位，短期供應端小幅減量對供需格局影響不大。悲觀情緒發酵壓製鐵礦石價格。SMM數據顯示，能否繼續下跌需要成材庫存去化的配合。隨著季度末發運增量逐漸體現，成本支撐尚未站穩 ， 焦炭：★☆☆（焦炭七輪提降，後續關注清明假期前鐵礦石現貨成交增加能否帶來企穩機會。成材成本走低。螺紋上半年旺季需求峰值將低於預期。市場對下遊需求擔憂增加 ，高頻建材日度成交數據較上周轉弱， 鐵礦石：★☆☆（關注本周成材需求數據） 昨日鐵礦石繼續震蕩下行，本周高爐檢修影響量189萬噸，有加大聯合減產計劃 ，關注今日即將公布的產庫數據。短期焦煤價格或將跟隨下遊需求延續震蕩運行。短期或將延續弱勢震蕩，焦化廠利潤虧損，近期焦光光算谷歌seo算谷歌推广煤供應端擾動增加， |
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